REEx Reality Check: Odisha’s Critical Minerals-Potential vs. Production

Aug 8, 2025

man in a suit and tie posing for a picture, critical minerals

Highlights

  • Odisha holds significant resources of 30 critical minerals including nickel, cobalt, graphite, and rare earth elements.
  • The 'Critical Mineral Potentiality Wheel' maps principal and companion mineral occurrences, offering insights for potential investors.
  • Despite robust geological potential, mineral production in Odisha remains embryonic.
  • There is a requirement for substantial processing and market integration efforts.

The SGAT Bulletin article by Lenka et al. (opens in a new tab) is a sweeping geological inventory of Odishaโ€™s potential in 30 critical minerals identified by Indiaโ€™s National Critical Mineral Mission. Itโ€™s a factual goldmine in terms of deposit types, host geology, and co-/by-product relationships. The โ€œCritical Mineral Potentiality Wheel of Odishaโ€ is an innovative visual concept, mapping where principal and companion minerals occur togetherโ€”vital for investors who understand the economics of by-product recovery.

Odisha - Source: Wikipedia

The Place

Odisha, formerly called Orissa until 2011, is a state in eastern India. It is the eighth-largest by area and the eleventh-largest by population, with over 41 million people, including the countryโ€™s third-largest Scheduled Tribe population. Bordered by Jharkhand and West Bengal to the north, Chhattisgarh to the west, and Andhra Pradesh to the south, it has 485 km of coastline along the Bay of Bengal. Historically known as Utkalaโ€”mentioned in Indiaโ€™s national anthemโ€”the stateโ€™s official language is Odia, recognized as one of Indiaโ€™s Classical languages.

Whatโ€™s Solid and Verifiable

The authors correctly cite USGS, IBM, and GSI data showing Odisha holds significant resources of nickel, cobalt, PGE, graphite, vanadium, tin, tungsten, titanium, copper, REE, and zircon, plus secondary potential in gallium and germanium. The fact that many of these are locked in host ores (e.g., cobalt in nickeliferous laterite, gallium in bauxite, REE in beach sands and alkaline complexes) is consistent with global mineralogy. They also accurately highlight Chinaโ€™s overwhelming dominance in processing, not just miningโ€”China refines 100% of natural graphite and dysprosium, 70% of cobalt, and over half of lithium and manganese.

Where the Rock Turns to Speculation

Phrases like โ€œcan serve as a useful guideโ€ and โ€œhighly potentialโ€ are geological optimismโ€”not feasibility studies. The leap from mapped occurrences to the claim that Odisha can โ€œplay a major roleโ€ in Indiaโ€™s mineral independence omits the hardest part: building economically viable mines and processing plants. Thereโ€™s also an implicit assumption that companion mineral recovery (e.g., vanadium from graphite, gallium from red mud) is always feasibleโ€”globally, such recovery is often cost-prohibitive without subsidies or favorable price spikes.

Bias Beneath the Surface

The narrative leans toward a state-led, geoscience-first solutionโ€”consistent with a Geological Survey authorship. While the science is sound, the economic and policy challenges get lighter treatment. Thereโ€™s no deep discussion of permitting timelines, private capital appetite, infrastructure gaps, or price volatilityโ€”all factors that determine whether Odishaโ€™s โ€œwheelโ€ spins in the real market.

REEx Questions for Investors

  • What is the cost curve for processing these Odisha deposits versus global peers?
  • Which companion mineral recoveries are technically proven at a commercial scale in India?
  • How will India attract private capital into what is currently a GSI- and PSU-led exploration domain?
  • Are there policy guarantees to secure offtake markets for these minerals beyond domestic demand?

REEx Bottom Line: Odishaโ€™s critical minerals profile is scientifically robust and geopolitically valuable, but production remains embryonic. Until processing capacity, market integration, and commercial recoveries are proven, the โ€œPotentiality Wheelโ€ is best read as a strategic exploration guideโ€”not a near-term supply forecast. In mining, as in investing, the map is not the mine.

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By Daniel

Inspired to launch Rare Earth Exchanges in part due to his lifelong passion for geology and mineralogy, and patriotism, to ensure America and free market economies develop their own rare earth and critical mineral supply chains.

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