Highlights

• President Trump threatens 200% tariffs on Chinese rare-earth magnets.
• China controls 90% of global magnet production.
• Department of Defense provides $150 million loan to MP Materials for heavy rare earth separation, signaling strategic investment.
• Ongoing trade negotiations and supply chain dynamics create uncertainty for US manufacturers and investors in the rare earth market.

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JD Supra’s September 5th bulletin, sourced from DLA Piper’s regulatory team, reports that President Trump threatened tariffs of up to 200% on Chinese rare-earth magnets should Beijing curb exports. With China controlling roughly 90% of magnet production, any disruption matters. The article also notes U.S. imports rebounded this summer under a temporary trade framework set to expire in November.

So what’s the verdict? From the Rare Earth Exchanges (REEx) point of view, accurate. China dominates global magnet supply, and U.S. imports have indeed ticked upward. The tariff warning tracks with Trump’s broader trade-war posture. Speculation creeps in when framing this as imminent—China’s negotiator Li Chenggang heading to Washington shows talks remain fluid.

Loans, Leverage, and Mountain Pass

The piece highlights the Department of Defense’s $150 million loan to MP Materials for heavy rare earth separation. That’s on target: the Office of Strategic Capital (opens in a new tab) has explicitly used loans to accelerate domestic capacity. What’s missing is context: MP’s current Mountain Pass facility is light REE-dominant, and heavy REE separation will take years to scale. The bulletin treats it like an immediate hedge; in reality, it’s a long-term play and all too often REEx finds various media making this mistake—or it is a mistake? Or is it the spinning of a positive narrative?

Headlines vs. Underlying Grain

Bias here is subtle. JD Supra doesn’t editorialize—it’s written in a legal briefing style. But the narrative leans toward a U.S. policy win as cited directly above: tariffs as leverage, OSC loans as quick fixes. Left unsaid: 200% tariffs may spook U.S. manufacturers more than they hurt Beijing, and MP’s expansion doesn’t solve America’s midstream gap in the short term.

Why This Matters for Investors

This bulletin, while concise, signals two things worth watching:

1. Negotiation Brinkmanship: With tariffs looming and China holding at least some valuable cards, U.S. manufacturers face heightened supply risk as November’s framework deadline approaches.
2. OSC’s Direct Capital Role: Equity-like loans to MP Materials reinforce that the Pentagon isn’t just jawboning—it’s underwriting. That’s a notable precedent for other U.S. rare earth ventures. REEx suggests far more will be needed.

For the supply chain, this isn’t noise. It’s the shape of the battlefield: China with scale, the U.S. with tariffs and loans (and more needed), and investors caught in between.

Citation: JD Supra / DLA Piper, “Industrials Regulatory News and Trends – September 2025 (opens in a new tab),” September 5, 2025.

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