Highlights
- Nigeria's federal government backs a $400 million rare earth processing plant in Nasarawa State to boost local industrial capacity.
- The project promises to increase processing capacity from 6,000 to 18,000 metric tons.
- The initiative is expected to generate over 10,000 jobs.
- Despite ambitious goals, the project faces significant challenges in geological feasibility, infrastructure, and global market integration.
Nigeria’s federal government has thrown its institutional weight behind a $400 million investment to establish Africa’s largest rare earth and critical minerals processing plant in Nasarawa State. Reported by Punch (opens in a new tab) journalist Damilola Aina, the project—led by Hasetins Commodities (opens in a new tab)—aims to boost local beneficiation, generate over 10,000 jobs, and position Nigeria as a new player in the global rare earth supply chain. Yet for all the celebratory headlines, critical questions about feasibility, scale, and structural readiness remain unaddressed.
Key Points & Claims
- The facility will increase its capacity from 6,000 to 18,000 metric tons, focusing on the early-stage separation of rare earths and platinum group metals (PGMs).
- The initiative is framed as a direct response to President Bola Tinubu’s mandate for industrialization, emphasizing in-country value addition.
- Hasetins promotes a “community-first” approach, encompassing training, protective gear distribution, and support for artisanal mining.
- The government cites the project as evidence that its reforms—such as the introduction of mining marshals and simplified licensing—are attracting foreign direct investment and delivering “concrete results.”
Underlying Assumptions and Structural Gaps
While the article highlights political will and private enthusiasm, it lacks a rigorous interrogation of critical supply chain prerequisites.
The article makes bold claims about Nigeria’s rare earth ambitions but leaves major gaps unaddressed. Upstream, there is no mention of the grade, origin, or commercial viability of Nigeria’s rare earth deposits. Without independent geological surveys or feasibility studies, projections of scale and output remain speculative and potentially misleading. Midstream, the narrative of Nigeria becoming a processing hub glosses over the fact that separation and refining are among the most capital-intensive and technically complex steps in the entire supply chain. These processes, still dominated by China, demand not just infrastructure but world-class metallurgical expertise, strict environmental controls, and synchronized logistics—none of which are discussed.
Downstream, the silence is more telling. There is no indication that Nigeria is building capacity for magnet manufacturing, alloying, or component integration. Without downstream industrialization, the country risks falling into a familiar neo-colonial pattern: exporting pre-processed materials while importing the high-value technology they make possible. For a project of this magnitude to succeed, Nigeria must build not just a plant, but a full, vertically integrated rare earth ecosystem.
Sharing What We Know
The piece accurately reflects Nigeria’s intent to localize value and reduce its dependence on raw mineral exports—a policy imperative long overdue across Africa’s resource-rich economies. It also highlights early-stage beneficiation as a potential economic uplift mechanism for artisanal miners, a rare inclusion in industrial policy narratives.
Missing in Action
The article offers political optimism, but lacks industrial realism. There’s no discussion of:
- Power and water infrastructure are essential for processing.
- Export pathways for materials not consumed domestically.
- Long-term offtake agreements or downstream customers.
Nor is there any reference to how Nigeria’s project aligns with global rare earth demand curves, price volatility, or ESG expectations that are increasingly driving investor behavior.
Conclusion
The Nasarawa project is a bold political signal—but unless it is anchored in viable geology, end-to-end processing infrastructure, and integration into global value chains, it risks becoming another stranded asset. Nigeria’s ambition deserves credit, but execution will require more than ribbon cuttings and patriotic speeches.
Nigeria’s rare earths sector is still nascent. The $400 million and 10,000 jobs headline is bold, but delivering on it will require more than aspiration.
With 25 years in Nigeria’s commodity sector, I’ve seen how difficult it is to take a project from promise to production. Success depends on clear data, viable funding, and a plan grounded in commercial realities.
Rare earth values vary widely — from low-value cerium to high-value terbium and scandium. A project’s viability hinges not just on the presence of rare earths, but on the element mix, grade and concentration, and logistics.
If the fundamentals are there, this could be a positive step. But for now, it remains early stage.