Baotou’s Long Shadow: China’s 10-Year Rare Earth Plan Tightens the Global Game

Nov 14, 2025

Highlights

  • China unveiled a 10-year plan to transform Baotou into a vertically integrated rare earth powerhouse.
  • The plan aims to consolidate control over extraction, refining, and magnet manufacturing through 2035.
  • Baotou's proximity to Bayan Obo, which supplies approximately 40% of global REE reserves and nearly half of production, strengthens China's position.
  • This strategic expansion allows China to reinforce its monopoly while Western competitors face fragmented strategies.
  • The expansion emphasizes military magnet dominance and industrial coherence.
  • This approach contrasts sharply with the West's patchwork incentives and lack of unified pricing mechanisms for critical minerals.

Inner Mongoliaโ€™s blueprint isnโ€™t just industrial planning โ€” it is a strategic signal to the world.

Thatโ€™s right, China has unveiled a 10-year plan to transform Baotou โ€” already the beating heart of the Bayan Obo mineral system โ€” into an even deeper, more vertically integrated rare earth powerhouse. The Inner Mongolia regional government promises new strategic exploration, expanded refining, and a magnet-production build-out squarely aligned with Chinaโ€™s โ€œnew-energy industrializationโ€ agenda.

This matters. Baotou controls proximity to Bayan Obo, the deposit supplying ~40% of known global REE reserves and nearly half of global production. From a supply-chain perspective, the announcement is not new โ€” but it is a formalization of Chinaโ€™s existing ambition: concentrating extraction, separation, alloying, and magnet manufacturing within a single self-reinforcing ecosystem.

Parsing the Facts From the Flourish

Most facts in the South China Morning Post reporting align with what Rare Earth Exchangesโ„ข has tracked since the onset of this platform:

Accurate:

  • Bayan Oboโ€™s scale and dominance.
  • Chinaโ€™s ~69% share of global mine production and ~90% control of magnet manufacturing.
  • China's continued magnet-metal investment surge in Baotou.
  • Export licensing and โ€œnational securityโ€ framing consistent with Chinaโ€™s April 2025 controls โ€” controls that the U.S. mischaracterized as suspended (they were not).

Some items raise an eyebrow. Statements implying that Baotouโ€™s expansion โ€œfurther shores up Chinaโ€™s dominanceโ€ are directionally correct but undersell the structural reality: China is not merely shoring up dominance โ€” it is hardening a monopoly position while global competitors move at a fraction of the pace. Will the White House be internalizing these words?ย 

Notable Soft Spots

  • The article omits environmental constraints, which remain central to Inner Mongoliaโ€™s tightening ecological regulations.
  • It underplays Chinaโ€™s policy logic: consolidating rare earth power not just for EVs and turbines, but for military magnet dominance โ€” a point well documented at RareEarthXchanges.com.

Why This Matters for Global Investors

Baotouโ€™s 2035 vision is a reminder that China continues to build industrial coherence, while the U.S., Europe, and allies operate with patchwork incentives, loan guarantees, and no unified price floor for NdPr. The contrast is stark: China scales ecosystems; the West scales press releases.

Baotouโ€™s rise signals that the worldโ€™s rare-earth future is increasingly determined not by geology, but by strategic industrial discipline โ€” a field where Beijing remains unmatched.

ยฉ 2025 Rare Earth Exchangesโ„ข โ€“ Accelerating Transparency, Accuracy, and Insight Across the Rare Earth & Critical Minerals Supply Chain.

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By Daniel

Inspired to launch Rare Earth Exchanges in part due to his lifelong passion for geology and mineralogy, and patriotism, to ensure America and free market economies develop their own rare earth and critical mineral supply chains.

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