China vs. the World-or Campaign Season Optics? A Rare Earth Reality Check

Oct 16, 2025

Highlights

  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent labeled Beijing's rare earth export curbs as 'China versus the world,' calling on allied nations to de-risk and diversify their mineral supply chains before potential November tariff escalation.
  • China's new restrictions on rare earth technologies and oxides are part of a strategic response to U.S. export bans, with Beijing controlling roughly 90% of global separation capacity across automotive, defense, and electronics sectors.
  • The U.S.-led push for collective de-risking through the Minerals Security Partnership could fast-track funding for domestic and allied processing projects, but risks triggering more aggressive Chinese countermeasures in the critical minerals trade war.

AFP reports (opens in a new tab) that U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent labeled Beijingโ€™s latest rare earth export curbs โ€œChina versus the world,โ€ urging allied nations to โ€œde-risk and diversifyโ€ their supply chains. His comments came during the IMFโ€“World Bank fall meetings in Washington, where the rhetoric was sharper than usual.

Bessentโ€™s message: Washington wonโ€™t let โ€œbureaucrats in Beijing manage global supply chains_.โ€ The timingโ€”weeks before the APEC summit in South Koreaโ€”signals an orchestrated effort to rally allies behind a unified minerals strategy. He hinted that tariff escalation could resume on November 1 if Beijing doesnโ€™t back off, though he left the door open for a โ€œlonger rollโ€ on tariff relief if China delays its controls._

What Rings True: Beijingโ€™s Controls Are Real, and the Stakes Are High

Beijingโ€™s new export restrictions on rare earth technologies and select oxides were officially announced earlier this month. The move extends Octoberโ€™s tightening on magnet-making know-howโ€”part of a longer pattern dating to 2023, when China began explicitly linking mineral policy to โ€œnational security.โ€ Bessentโ€™s characterization of a global supply-chain power play isnโ€™t far-fetched. Roughly 90% of global rare earth separation capacity remains inside China, making any export shift reverberate across automotive, defense, and electronics sectors.

His call for allied diversificationโ€”via Australia, Canada, and Indiaโ€”mirrors existing frameworks such as the Minerals Security Partnership (MSP). The U.S. is already funding processing projects in Texas, California, and Alaska, with further offtake guarantees in the works.

Where Spin Enters: Framing and Fireworks

Labeling this episode โ€œChina vs. the worldโ€ oversimplifies a complex dynamic. Chinaโ€™s restrictions are strategic, yesโ€”but theyโ€™re also reactive, following new U.S. tariffs and export bans on AI chips. The AFP piece leans toward a Washington-centric framing, emphasizing American resolve while glossing over the interdependence that still defines global magnet and motor production.

The pieceโ€™s subtextโ€”strong on political theater, light on technical specificsโ€”reflects the election-year tempo of Trumpโ€™s revived trade war narrative. It conflates messaging with measurable policy progress.

Why This Matters

For investors, rhetoric matters less than logistics: rare earth supply realignment is accelerating, and government-to-government coordination now directly affects project financing timelines. The U.S. push for โ€œcollective de-riskingโ€ could fast-track approvals and grants for domestic and allied refineriesโ€”but it also risks triggering more aggressive Chinese countermeasures.

Source: AFP / Beiyi Seow

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By Daniel

Inspired to launch Rare Earth Exchanges in part due to his lifelong passion for geology and mineralogy, and patriotism, to ensure America and free market economies develop their own rare earth and critical mineral supply chains.

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