China’s NEV Surge Nears Half the Market; Exports Keep Climbing—Hitting Long Term Planning Milestones

Sep 21, 2025

Highlights

  • China's auto sector shows strong growth with 2.857 million vehicles sold in August, up 16.4% year-over-year.
  • New energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 48.8% of all new car sales in August, signaling rapid electric vehicle market transformation.
  • Chinese NEV exports hit 224,000 vehicles in August, indicating significant global market expansion and competitive pressure on Western automakers.

China’s auto sector kept its foot on the gas in August, with the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) reporting 2.815 million vehicles produced and 2.857 million sold—up 13.0% and 16.4% year over year. January–August totals reached 21.051 million produced and 21.128 million sold (both up ~12.6–12.7%). Passenger vehicles did the heavy lifting: August output hit 2.50 million and sales 2.54 million, each up low- to mid-teens year over year; year-to-date passenger sales stand at 18.384 million (+13.8%).

New energy vehicles (NEVs) remain the growth engine. In August, China produced 1.391 million NEVs and sold 1.395 million—up 27.4% and 26.8% year over year—pushing NEVs to 48.8% of all new car sales that month. Year to date (Jan–Aug), NEV production hit 9.625 million and sales 9.620 million, up 37.3% and 36.7%, with NEVs accounting for 45.5% of all new car sales. Within the NEV mix, fuel-cell vehicles fell versus last year, while the other two major categories (battery EVs and plug-in hybrids/erevs) posted gains.

Domestic NEV demand stayed brisk. August domestic NEV sales reached 1.171 million (+18.3% YoY), led by 1.106 million passenger NEVs (+16.5%) and 66,000 commercial NEVs (+58.6%). For Jan–Aug, domestic NEV sales totaled 8.089 million (+30.1%), including 7.607 million passenger (+28.6%) and 481,000 commercial (+59.0%).

Exports remained a standout despite a slight month-over-month dip. China exported 224,000 NEVs in August (-0.6% MoM, +100% YoY), including 220,000 passenger NEVs (-0.2% MoM, +110% YoY) and 4,000 commercial NEVs (-15.8% MoM, +9.5% YoY). For Jan–Aug, NEV exports hit 1.532 million (+87.3%), with passenger NEVs at 1.473 million (+85.1%) and commercial NEVs at 58,000 (+170%).

Why this is a business story

NEV penetration brushing 50% in August signals China is approaching a majority-electric market—years ahead of most forecasts. The export surge, even with minor monthly noise, implies ongoing price and market-share pressure for Western automakers in Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and potentially North America via affiliates. For U.S. supply chains, sustained Chinese NEV growth tightens competition across batteries, power electronics, and rare-earth magnet demand (NdFeB) used in traction motors—raising the bar for domestic and allied industrial policy, trade defenses, and on-shoring timelines.

Why It Matters

Rare Earth Exchanges (REEx) has tracked Beijing’s long-game—systematically using its rare earth monopoly not just to extract upstream rents but to lock in downstream revenue and market dominance. The endgame, in some visions, stretches beyond materials into influence over global digital currency frameworks. All of this is now unfolding as planned by the Chinese government.

Disclaimer: This item is sourced from Chinese state-linked media reporting CAAM data (opens in a new tab). Figures and characterizations should be independently verified.

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By Daniel

Inspired to launch Rare Earth Exchanges in part due to his lifelong passion for geology and mineralogy, and patriotism, to ensure America and free market economies develop their own rare earth and critical mineral supply chains.

1 Comment

  1. carbattery nz

    China’s NEV market surges to nearly half, exports rising fast, powering global dominance and securing long-term growth in green mobility.

    Reply

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