China’s Northern Rare Earth Charts Second-Half Strategy Amid Global Market Pressure

Highlights

  • Northern Rare Earth Group confirms strong H1 2025 performance.
  • Company is positioning defensively in the global rare earth market.
  • Aims to stabilize pricing and control market direction.
  • Focus on optimizing internal operations amid increasing geopolitical tensions.
  • Strategic meeting signals China’s continued market dominance.
  • Potential for supply modulation in the rare earth industry.

China’s largest rare earth supplier, Northern Rare Earth Group (also known as China Northern Rare Earth (opens in a new tab) or 北方稀土), held its semiannual business review in Baotou on July 16, signaling both steady performance and high alert as the global rare earth race intensifies. The leadership team, including Chairman Liu Peixun and General Manager Qu Yedong, outlined a determined strategy to fortify operations in the second half of 2025—underscoring continued economic volatility, increasing geopolitical tension, and their self-proclaimed role as the “stabilizer” of the rare earth market.

Northern Rare Earth, the largest rare earth mining operation by market share,  confirmed that it met key production and operational targets for H1 2025. But the more critical takeaway was the sharp pivot toward risk identification and market intervention. Executives emphasized internal optimization—such as cost control, margin protection, and efficiency gains in smelting, separation, and metal refining—as core priorities for H2. Of course, an impetus has been the ongoing trade war with America, despite the framework established in London.

The company aims to accelerate JV project rollouts, stabilize pricing power, and “continuously fulfill its role as an industry leader in maintaining market order.” This reveals Northern’s intent to wield influence not only through production but through strategic price-setting and supply modulation.

Implications for the West and U.S.:

While Western nations, particularly the U.S., scramble to build rare earth independence, Northern Rare Earth’s latest strategy session signals China’s continued grip on market direction. The company’s emphasis on “industry responsibility” and controlling market stability translates into ongoing price-setting leverage. This is particularly important as the U.S. ramps up Defense Production Act funding, magnet manufacturing incentives, and strategic stockpiling under Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill.”

Key unresolved questions emerge:

  • Will Northern Rare Earth throttle output to manage prices amid increased U.S. and Japanese separation capacity?
  • How will Western firms—many dependent on Chinese REO imports—respond to China’s reinforced control tactics masked as “efficiency measures”?
  • Can new U.S.-based refineries like MP Materials, ReElement Technologies, or Ucore produce competitively if Chinese incumbents compress margins through optimization?

The meeting also addressed receivables and cash flow discipline, signaling a more aggressive stance on financial governance. Meanwhile, calls to “rectify underperforming subsidiaries” suggest possible consolidation—a potential prelude to streamlining control over China’s fragmented midstream sector.

Conclusion

While the company celebrates a solid first half, its marching orders for H2 betray an undercurrent of defensive positioning in a more competitive global landscape. For the West, it’s a reminder: China’s rare earth incumbents aren’t just competing—they’re coordinating.

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