China’s Rare Earth Export Controls Spark Industry Alarm, NioCorp Urges U.S. Supply Action

Highlights

  • NioCorp responds to China’s export restrictions on rare earth elements, calling it a potential national security threat.
  • Elk Creek Project in Nebraska aims to produce key critical minerals like niobium, scandium, and titanium.
  • Company faces significant financial challenges with negative returns and limited cash reserves.

In response to new Chinese export restrictions on key medium and heavy rare earth elements, U.S. critical minerals developer NioCorp Developments Ltd. (NASDAQ: NB) labeled the move a “precision strike” against Pentagon supply chains.

Executive Chairman and CEO Mark A. Smith warned the restrictions, which impact materials essential to U.S. defense and tech infrastructure—including dysprosium, terbium, and scandium—pose a significant national security threat. Smith described the development as “a geopolitical earthquake in slow motion” and reiterated calls for rapid domestic mining investment.

NioCorp highlighted its Elk Creek Project in Nebraska (opens in a new tab), which aims to produce several of the targeted rare earths, along with niobium, scandium, and titanium. The company positioned itself as a strategic domestic solution amid rising U.S.-China tensions over mineral supply chains. While urging immediate government response, NioCorp promoted its ongoing efforts to secure financing and production capacity for rare earth independence.  Some industry chatter suggests a steep climb to arrive at an activated Elk Creek Project.

Critical View of the Press Release

While the recent NioCorp press release provides relevant and timely information about China’s export controls, it is highly promotional and uses alarmist, militarized language (e.g., “precision strike,” “missile aimed at the Pentagon”) that aligns the threat with NioCorp’s commercial interests.

The framing emphasizes U.S. vulnerability to justify increased investment in the company’s project. Quotes from the CEO dominate, with no external expert or government source cited for balance. This framing could exaggerate the immediacy of risk or overstate NioCorp’s readiness as a strategic substitute.

Additionally, references to op-eds published in partisan media (Fox News, Daily Caller) signal a political positioning that may not appeal to all stakeholders. The absence of quantified production capacity, current financing status, or permitting hurdles in Elk Creek raises questions about the project’s feasibility timeline. While the geopolitical concern is legitimate, readers should treat the company’s claims as part of an investor-oriented narrative, not an impartial national security assessment.

The Company

NioCorp is an emerging critical minerals company focused on advancing the Elk Creek Project in Southeast Nebraska, which is contingent on securing sufficient project financing. The project aims to produce three key critical minerals, niobium, scandium, and titanium, with the additional potential to recover rare earth elements.

These materials are essential to modern industry: niobium strengthens steel for automotive, pipeline, and structural use; scandium enhances aluminum alloys and powers solid oxide fuel cells; titanium is vital for aerospace, medical, and pigment applications; and magnetic rare earths like neodymium, praseodymium, terbium, and dysprosium are indispensable for high-performance permanent magnets used in both defense and civilian technologies.

Financial Matters

​NioCorp Developments Ltd. (NASDAQ: NB) is a junior mining company focused on developing the Elk Creek Project in Nebraska, targeting the production of niobium, scandium, titanium, and potentially rare earth elements.

As of April 4, 2025, NioCorp’s stock closed at $1.96 per share, reflecting a 6.22% decrease from the previous close. The company’s market capitalization stands at approximately $86.26 million. Over the past 52 weeks, the stock has experienced a decline of 31.23%, with a trading range between $1.27 and $3.999.

What about the firm’s financial position? As of December 31, 2024, NioCorp reported cash holdings of $477,000 and total debt of $1.34 million, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 16.36%.​

The current ratio is 0.19, indicating potential challenges in covering short-term liabilities with available assets.​ The company has not generated revenue to date and reported an EBITDA of -$11.69 million for the trailing twelve months ending December 31, 2024.​

Management effectiveness can be measured by return on assets (ROA) equaling -40.50% and return on equity (ROE) at -391.61%.

These negative returns highlight the company’s current lack of profitability and efficiency in utilizing assets and equity.​

Junior mining companies often operate without revenue during exploration and development phases, relying on external financing for operations. NioCorp’s financial metrics, including its low liquidity ratios and negative profitability indicators, are not uncommon in this sector. However, these factors underscore the importance of securing adequate financing and achieving operational milestones to advance the Elk Creek Project.​

The Vanguard Group is the largest institutional investor holding 2% of the company’s stock.

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