Nigeria’s Critical Mineral Bill: A Game-Changer or Another False Start?

Highlights

  • Nigeria’s proposed bill mandates 30% local processing of critical minerals to boost manufacturing and economic growth.
  • The policy aims to combat resource exploitation and create up to 10 million jobs within five years.
  • Success depends on overcoming infrastructure challenges, political corruption, and implementing strong enforcement mechanisms.

Nigeria purportedly is sitting on a goldmine—literally. With vast reserves of critical minerals like lithium, titanium, uranium, and rare earth elements, the country has long had the potential to break free from its crude oil dependence. Yet, for decades, these valuable resources have been quietly siphoned out of the country—often without proper records or local processing—depriving Nigeria of massive economic benefits.

Now, as reported via Arise News (opens in a new tab), a proposed amendment to the Raw Materials Development Council Act (opens in a new tab) aims to change that. The bill mandates a 30% value addition requirement for all raw materials before export, forcing local processing and industrial growth. It’s a bold step that could jumpstart manufacturing, create 10 million new jobs in five years, and unlock billions in revenue from high-value mineral exports.

But will it work?

Nigeria’s Long-Standing Problem

Despite being one of the world’s most resource-rich nations, Nigeria has remained a primary goods economy, exporting raw materials while importing finished products at a premium. This has left the country vulnerable to economic instability, joblessness, and currency crises.

The unchecked, undocumented export of critical minerals, particularly rare earth elements, mirrors the fate of other African nations exploited for their natural wealth. Without a regulatory framework, Nigeria has effectively been giving away its mineral resources to foreign players—especially China, which dominates the global rare earth supply chain.

Why the 30% Processing Mandate Matters

Unlike crude oil, where Nigeria’s refining capacity has stagnated, rare earths and other critical minerals require only basic processing steps to increase their value. By enforcing a 30% local processing rule, Nigeria aims to:

  • Boost domestic manufacturing by encouraging local refining facilities.
  • Attract foreign direct investment (FDI) in processing infrastructure.
  • Retain economic value by exporting semi-finished or refined materials rather than raw ores.
  • Crackdown on illegal mining and smuggling, a rampant issue that has allowed foreign entities to profit at Nigeria’s expense.

Challenges Ahead

While promising, the bill faces major hurdles:

  • Infrastructure Deficiencies – Power shortages, inadequate transport networks, and lack of refining facilities could slow implementation.
  • Political Will & Corruption – Nigeria has a history of great policies that never translate into action due to political interference and vested interests.
  • Enforcement Issues – Ensuring compliance with the value-addition mandate requires strong governance, customs oversight, and local industry participation.

The High Stakes of Critical Minerals

The global demand for rare earth elements and critical minerals is skyrocketing, driven by the energy transition, electric vehicles, and defense technologies. Nations like China and the U.S. are aggressively securing their supply chains, making Nigeria’s policy shift even more crucial.

If the Nigerian government follows through, this bill could turn the country into a key player in the global critical minerals market. If it fails, Nigeria will continue watching its wealth disappear across its borders—while remaining trapped in economic stagnation.

The time for action is now. Will Nigeria seize the moment, or will this bill become another well-intentioned but ineffective policy? The world is watching.

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