Highlights
- Hancock Prospecting has absorbed an estimated A$680 million 12-month paper loss on rare-earth holdings including MP Materials and Lynas Rare Earths.
- MP Materials posted 89% year-over-year revenue growth and 41% NdPr production gains, yet its share price remains weak amid investor risk discounting.
- Lynas reported record FY2026 revenue of A$977.9 million but was punished by markets over production misses and heavy rare-earth expansion cost overruns.
- Hancock expanded its critical-mineral exposure in May 2025 by disclosing a 6.26% stake in Rare Earths Americas, signaling continued conviction.
- REEx frames the losses as the 'Transition Vulnerability Window'—the period when Western supply chains need patient capital most but are least rewarded for it.
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