Highlights
- Indiana's comprehensive audit identifies $5-6 billion in critical minerals locked in coal ash and waste streams, with some samples exceeding DOE's 300-ppm economic threshold.
- Despite 80-90% lab recovery rates, no commercial-scale coal-derived REE operation exists globallyโtechnology remains unproven beyond the pilot phase.
- The state's strongest opportunity lies in pairing mineral recovery with mandated AMD remediation, requiring new regulatory frameworks beyond existing waste management rules.
Indianaโs December 2025 report, Indianaโs Opportunity in Rare Earth Elements and Critical Minerals (opens in a new tab), is one of the most comprehensive state-level audits yet of coal-derived critical mineral potential. Prepared by the Indiana Geological and Water Survey (opens in a new tab) with funding from the U.S. Department of Energy, the study is notable less for hype than for its restraint. It inventories what exists, what might be recoverable, andโcruciallyโwhat remains unproven.
Table of Contents
The headline finding is straightforward
Indianaโs coal legacy has left behind enormous volumes of already mined materialโcoal ash, coal preparation waste, acid mine drainage (AMD), paleosols, and black shalesโthat contain rare earth elements (REEs) and other critical minerals. In a geopolitical environment dominated by Chinaโs control of roughly 70% of global REE supply and close to 90% of processing capacity, these unconventional sources are strategically interesting.
Where the Data Are Strong
Coal ash emerges as the most credible near-term feedstock. Indiana produces roughly five million tons annually, and legacy impoundments contain tens of millions more. Laboratory analyses show REE concentrations frequently exceeding the Department of Energyโs 300-ppm economic screening threshold, with some samples reaching 700โ900 ppm.
The report estimates $5โ6 billion in theoretical REE value locked in coal ash and slurry deposits, driven largely by scandium, neodymium, dysprosium, and terbium.
Coal preparation waste and AMD add a second tier of opportunity. AMD is particularly notable because REEs are already dissolved in solution, meaning recovery could be paired with mandated environmental remediation. This โrecover-while-cleaningโ model is one of the reportโs most defensible concepts and aligns with prior DOE-funded pilot work in Appalachia.
Paleosols and black shales round out the resource base. While REE grades are generally lower, the report identifies potentially economic concentrations of gallium, germanium, vanadium, zinc, and lithiumโsupporting a co-production strategy rather than a single-metal bet.
Technology: Feasible in Theory, Unproven at Scale
The report is explicitโand _Rare Earth Exchanges_โข agreesโon a critical point: to date, there is no substantive evidence that coal-derived rare earth recovery has succeeded at sustained commercial scale.
Recovery pathways are technically well understood. Laboratory and pilot studies demonstrate 80โ90% recovery rates using combinations of roasting, alkali or acid leaching, solvent extraction, ion exchange, and newer approaches such as ligand-assisted chromatography and bio-leaching. But almost all supporting data come from bench-scale or short-run pilots.
No large, continuous, economically self-sustaining coal-derived REE operation currently exists in the United States or globally. Chemical costs remain high, separation is complex, and scaling introduces nonlinear challenges that small pilots cannot resolve. Investors should treat recovery percentages as technical ceilings, not commercial guarantees.
That said, even critics of coal-based REE recovery remain open to the next generation of pilots, particularly those that (a) integrate co-products, (b) leverage AMD remediation mandates, and (c) operate at sufficient duration and throughput to generate credible cost curves.
Regulation: Predictable, but Incomplete
Indiana benefits from regulatory maturity. Oversight by the Indiana Department of Environmental Management and the Indiana Department of Natural Resources provides clarity for coal refuse and coal combustion residuals. However, those frameworks were built for waste management, not resource recovery.
REE extraction introduces new chemical processes, new residues, and new risks. The report rightly flags permitting uncertainty as a deterrent to private capital and calls for pilot-specific guidance, coordinated permitting, and regulatory sandboxes.
The Strategic Reality Check
Indiana is not positioning itself as the next Mountain Pass. Instead, the report makes a narrowerโand more credibleโclaim: the state holds a portfolio of secondary, already-mined resources that merit structured experimentation.
The path forward is not scale-up by decree. It is disciplined pilot work, transparent cost accounting, regulatory clarity, and a willingness to concludeโif the data demand itโthat some pathways will not clear economic hurdles. Coal-derived rare earths remain an open question. Indianaโs contribution is to ask that question rigorously.
ยฉ 2025 Rare Earth Exchangesโข โ Accelerating Transparency, Accuracy, and Insight Across the Rare Earth & Critical Minerals Supply Chain.
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