Is Demand for PrND Mischmetal to Grow? Chinese Firms Anticipate Yes, But Questions with Incoming Trump Administration

Highlights

  • China dominates global PrND mischmetal production, accounting for approximately 45,000 metric tons annually.
  • Key applications of PrND mischmetal include electric vehicles, wind turbines, and consumer electronics.
  • PrND mischmetal is composed primarily of praseodymium and neodymium.
  • It is crucial for high-performance NdFeB magnets used in advanced technological applications.
  • Market dynamics are influenced by evolving technologies, geopolitical shifts, and changes in renewable energy policies.
  • These factors potentially impact future demand and production strategies.

Recently, Baotou Shengyou  Rare Earth Co., Ltd. was reported to be expecting an expansion in PrND mischmetal production.  PrND mischmetal production refers to the creation of a metallic alloy primarily composed of the rare earth elements Praseodymium (Pr) and Neodymium (Nd), along with other rare earth metals. Mischmetal is a type of alloy often used in applications where the unique properties of rare earth metals—such as high magnetic strength and thermal resistance—are advantageous.

Before delving into the specifics of the demand drivers, I expected an overview of the key elements involved. Mischmetal is a mixture of rare earth elements that is typically used as a starting material in industrial applications.  It often contains a blend of rare earth metals such as cerium, lanthanum, praseodymium, and neodymium in varying proportions. The composition depends on the source of the rare earth ore and the intended use of the alloy.

When specifically looking at Praseodymium (Pr) and Neodymium (Nd), the former is a rare earth element with properties that improve corrosion resistance and enhance the mechanical strength of alloys. It is often used in magnets, lighting, and glass polishing.

While the latter is a crucial component in the production of powerful neodymium magnets (NdFeB magnets), these magnets are widely used in electronics, renewable energy (wind turbines), and electric vehicles (EVs).

A PrND mischmetal composition typically contains high concentrations of praseodymium and neodymium, with trace amounts of other rare earth elements. The specific ratio of Pr to Nd can vary depending on the production process and the application.

When reviewing possible demand drivers, an understanding of the applications of PrND mischmetal is in order. 

This can include high-performance magnets, which are used in the production of neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets and are critical for motors in electric vehicles, wind turbines, and other advanced technologies.  Also, alloying agents are used to enhance the properties of other metals, such as improving heat resistance and strength in steel or aluminum alloys.

Battery technology also emerges as an application. It can be used in some battery chemistries as a component of advanced electrodes. This input is also useful in catalytic converters and other chemical processes.

Global Production and China’sDominance

China leads the global production of PrNd mischmetal, accounting for a significant majority of the world’s supply. In 2019, China’s annual output was approximately 45,000 metric tons, maintaining a balanced supply and demand within the country, according to entries in Asian Metal (opens in a new tab).

Several key Chinese companies are instrumental in this production, including Baotou Huahong, which recently initiated a rare earth magnets project, as well as the Baotou Shengyou Rare Earth Co.

Industries Driving Demand

The primary driver of PrNd mischmetal demand is the production of Neodymium-Iron-Boron (NdFeB) magnets, which are integral to several high-tech applications, including those listed in the table below:

ApplicationDescription
Electric Vehicles (EV) The automotive industry utilizes NdFeB magnets in electric motors, with demand projected to rise by 10-15% in 2023-24 equating to an additional 2,600-3,900 metric tons, Rare Earth Exchanges suggests this industry may hit speed bumps with incoming POTUS Donald Trump and sweeping changes anticipated involving EV targets (opens in a new tab) under Biden.
Wind Turbines NdFeB magnets are crucial in wind turbine generators. However, a shift from direct-drive to semi-direct-drive technology has reduced NdFeB magnet consumption by 70-90% to lower production costs.
Consumer Electronics Devices such as smartphones, headphones, and computer hard drives rely on these magnets for their compact size and strong magnetic fields.
Renewable Energy Technologies Beyond wind turbines, NdFeB magnets are employed in various renewable energy applications, contributing to the global shift towards sustainable energy sources.

Market Outlook

Up until this recent election in the United States analysts have forecasted that the PrNd mischmetal market is poised for growth, driven by the expanding EV sector and renewable energy initiatives. China’s dominant position in production underscores its strategic importance in the global supply chain. However, technological advancements and shifts in manufacturing practices, such as changes in wind turbine technology, as well as an anticipated shift away from de-carbonization policies in the United States with the incoming Trump presidency, may further disrupt growth anticipation, further influencing future demand dynamics.

While Baotou Shengyou Rare Earth recently was quoted as projected growing demand as reported in Asian Metal (opens in a new tab), Rare Earth Exchanges suggests this market may also face significant headwinds.

Such changes would lead to downward price pressure impacting firms that extract rare earth ores, such as bastnaesite or monazite, which are mined and processed to extract rare earth oxides.

Other companies potentially under pressure in the rare earth complex in China would be those involved with the separation and refining, separating the praseodymium and neodymium using advanced techniques such as solvent extraction or iron exchange. The other step in the value chain includes reduction and alloying, when the purified oxides are reduced to metallic form, often using techniques such as electrolytic reduction, then also combining Pr and Nd metals in specific ratios to create the mischmetal.

Yes, PrND mischmetal is highly valuable due to its role in key industries like automotive, electronics, and energy. And yes, global production of PrND mischmetal is heavily reliant on rare earth mining, with China dominating the market. How will all these changes impact market demand drivers? 

Baotou Shengyou Rare Earth profile                                                   

Baotou Shengyou Rare Earth Co., Ltd. (opens in a new tab) was founded in November 2008. It was originally established in 1993 by Baotou Science and Technology New Technology Development and Application Research Institute and Baotou Branch Poly Rare Earth Co., Ltd., established in 2002. The company focuses on R&D and production. It also sells high-performance rare earth permanent magnet materials and rare earth metal alloys for electric vehicle batteries. The enterprise R&D center is composed of many experienced rare earth experts.

The company closely follows the relevant national policies and uses the preferential policies of electric power and tax provided by the Rare Earth High-tech Zone. In 2009, it applied to the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Development and Reform Commission for the project “Special Rare Earth Alloy Production Line with 1000 tons of High-Performance Rare Earth Permanent Magnet Materials”. In the same year, the project was approved.

The total investment of the project is 50.90 million yuan, covering an area of over 13,000 square meters. In 2010, the first phase of the project was completed, and in 2017, six utility model patents were obtained.

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