Highlights
- AIA warns Project Vault's $12B stockpile could compete with manufacturers for scarce rare earth materials
- China holds two strategies: restrict exports to drain Western inventories, or sustain cheap supply to undermine new refiners
- Stockpiled oxides offer limited protection if metal or magnet conversion capacity remains unavailable
- REEx recommends subsidized separation, coordinated purchases, and concurrent processing finance to bridge the qualification gap
- Key coverage test: usable inventory divided by monthly supply shortfall must exceed replacement qualification time
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