Highlights
- China's yttrium export curbs threaten jet engine thermal barrier coatings that rely on yttria-stabilized zirconia (7YSZ)
- Qualifying replacement magnesium- or calcium-based coatings could take up to five years, creating an immediate production vulnerability
- Annual gas turbine demand totals roughly 1,360 tonnes of yttria-stabilized zirconia, making aerospace-grade refining capacity the real investment opportunity
- Canada's National Research Council and Oerlikon Metco are exploring rare-earth-free coatings, but older materials were abandoned for sound technical reasons
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