Highlights
- Danxia Smelter sold germanium concentrate to a Yunnan buyer at RMB 27,350/kg (approx. US$4,094/kg), signaling elevated pricing in China's opaque market.
- The headline price is misleading without knowing concentrate grade—US$4,094/kg of concentrate is not equivalent to US$4,094/kg of refined germanium.
- China's dominance stems from its ability to recover, refine, and control germanium exports, not just resource ownership.
- Western manufacturers face a critical supply gap as alternative refining capacity has yet to reach commercial scale.
- A September sale near RMB 27,100/kg suggests sustained high pricing, though no standardized benchmark has been established.
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