Highlights
- China's Wang Yi met Saudi and Iranian security officials on November 2, signaling Beijing's continued mediation role under the 2023 Beijing Agreement.
- Strait of Hormuz instability poses a material cost risk for Western rare earth separation, metallization, and magnet projects through higher energy and freight prices.
- Beijing has strong economic incentives to stabilize the Gulf, as China relies heavily on Gulf energy and dominates global rare earth processing.
- China's Middle East envoy plans visits to Iran, Oman, and Saudi Arabia in November, but no direct Saudi-Iranian negotiations or new peace deal were confirmed.
- Investors are advised to stress-test rare earth projects for energy price exposure rather than assuming uniform cost increases from Gulf disruptions.
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