Highlights
- BioLixa analyzed 217 experimental runs across 10 waste types including coal fly ash and red mud, finding alkalinity often neutralizes microbial acids and halts recovery.
- For red mud, the model predicts 66% rare earth recovery at 1% solids but under 2% at 5% solids, revealing a costly dilution dilemma for industrial scaling.
- Independent forecasting tests failed, with errors reaching ~12 percentage points—worse than simpler methods—signaling BioLixa is a screening tool, not a production blueprint.
- The study is a single-author, non-peer-reviewed preprint reanalyzing lab data, with no pilot-scale economics or commercial extraction demonstrated.
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