Highlights
- Barclays analyst Dan Levy forecasts a possible Tesla-SpaceX all-stock merger valued near $3.6 trillion before December 2026.
- A combined entity would drive demand for neodymium, dysprosium, terbium and other critical minerals used in EV motors and Optimus robots.
- China controlled 94% of sintered permanent magnet production in 2024, a dependence no corporate merger can eliminate.
- REEx identifies separation, metallization, magnet manufacturing and qualified non-Chinese suppliers as the real strategic bottlenecks.
- No merger agreement, regulatory approvals, or long-term offtake commitments have been confirmed as of publication.
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