Highlights
- India is running a two-track strategy: engaging Myanmar's military government diplomatically while separately pursuing heavy rare earth access through the Kachin Independence Army (KIA).
- The KIA controls over 500 rare-earth sites in Kachin State as of 2026, making it the world's top rebel-controlled heavy rare earth upstream asset according to REEx rankings.
- India's real bottleneck is not geology but separation, refining, and magnet-making—all still dominated by China downstream.
- The Kachin Independence Army dates to 1961, predating the 2021 coup by six decades; its control of Pangwa's dysprosium and terbium resources is the product of a generations-long ethnic conflict.
- All Kachin rare earth output currently flows to China for separation, meaning India has no clear path to a complete supply chain without solving the processing gap.
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