Highlights
- USA Rare Earth proposes a $2.8 billion acquisition of Brazil's Serra Verde, producer of Nd, Pr, Dy, and Tb at the Pela Ema mine in Goiás.
- A U.S.-backed SPV has locked in 100% of Phase I production for 15 years with price floors of $110/kg Nd/Pr, $575/kg Dy, and $2,050/kg Tb.
- Brazil's new Law 15.506 asserts strategic oversight of critical minerals, but legal sovereignty may not translate to industrial value capture.
- USA Rare Earth's existing ties with Carester and Less Common Metals create an ex-China downstream pathway that bypasses Brazilian separation capacity.
- The key strategic question is not mine ownership but where Dy and Tb are separated, alloyed, and embedded into magnets.
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